This graph can help you see if you're getting a good interest rate on a mortgage, historically speaking (2024)

There has been much discussion about a slowing housing market in recent months. Rising interest rates —coupled with high home prices and lower consumer confidence amid a looming recession —have made potential homeowners second guess that next big purchase.

While these are all valid factors, consumers worrying about high interest rates may benefit from putting their rate into larger context. Rates have certainly increased from the pandemic days over the last two years, but historically, they're still relatively low. Mortgage rates have been as high as 18% in the 1980s, which is significantly higher than current rates.

Just take a look at this graph from the St. Louis Federal Reserve to see how today's mortgage rates measure up against the ones in the past. The graph shows the popular 30-year fixed-ratemortgage from 1971 to present day, identifying when there was also a recession, which generally correlates with rate spikes.

30-year fixed rate mortgage average in the United States

St. Louis Federal Reserve

Given the recent second quarter GDP, or Gross Domestic Product, data suggesting a technical "recession," it will be interesting to see how mortgage rates react. We can look at this graph as the weeks unfold to see how the rates change and compare them to other periods of recessions from years before. For example, the 2008 recession saw a 30-year mortgage peak of 6.63%. The current 30-year rate, as of this writing, is at 5.30% but we'll see how recession fears impact this.

While the best mortgage rate is really the lowest one you can get, you're able to have greater context as to how low or high your rate ranks when looking at the graph from the St. Louis Federal Reserve.

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Mortgage lenders that help you score a lower rate

Much of your mortgage rate will depend on personal factors such as where you live,your credit scoreandhow much you expect to put as a down payment, plus the mortgage type, term and amount. That said, some mortgage lenders are known for helping homebuyers get as low a rate as possible.

For example, SoFi offers a 0.25% discount when you lock in a 30-year rate for a conventional loan, while another special gives customers up to $9,500 in cash back when they purchase a home through the SoFi Real Estate Center, which is powered by HomeStory. SoFi members can also get $500 off on their mortgage loans.

SoFi

  • Annual Percentage Rate (APR)

    Apply online for personalized rates; fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgages included

  • Types of loans

    Conventional loans, jumbo loans, HELOCs

  • Terms

    10 – 30 years

  • Credit needed

    620

  • Minimum down payment

    3%

Terms apply.

Working with a lender that offers shorter loan terms, such as 15-year loans, can also help you score a lower rate since these are typically based on your level of risk. If you pay off your loan faster —which usually requires a higher monthly principal payment since the term is shortened — you can be rewarded with a lower interest rate because your decreasing balance shows you're less of a risk when it comes to defaulting on your loan.

Rocket Mortgage offers loan repayment terms as low as eight years. Keep in mind, however, that applying for a mortgage with a low credit score, which Rocket Mortgage allows, most likely means you'll get an interest rate on the higher end of the lender's APR range no matter what loan term you choose.

Rocket Mortgage

  • Annual Percentage Rate (APR)

    Apply online for personalized rates

  • Types of loans

    Conventional loans, FHA loans, VA loans and Jumbo loans

  • Terms

    8 – 29 years, including 15-year and 30-year terms

  • Credit needed

    Typically requires a 620 credit score but will consider applicants with a 580 credit score as long as other eligibility criteria are met

  • Minimum down payment

    3.5% if moving forward with an FHA loan

Already have a mortgage through Rocket Mortgage or looking to start one? Check out the Rocket Visa Signature Card to learn how you can earn rewards

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Read more

5 of the best mortgage lenders to consider if you're buying a home in February 2023

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Applying for a mortgage? Here's how it'll affect your credit score

2 rules to consider when deciding how much mortgage you can afford, according to a financial planner

Editorial Note: Opinions, analyses, reviews or recommendations expressed in this article are those of the Select editorial staff’s alone, and have not been reviewed, approved or otherwise endorsed by any third party.

This graph can help you see if you're getting a good interest rate on a mortgage, historically speaking (2024)

FAQs

What graph is used for trends of interest rates? ›

Line graph

A line chart, one of the commonly used financial graphs, displays data as points connected by straight-line segments. It is ideal for showing trends and changes over time.

What determines what your interest rate should be? ›

Lenders look at your credit score, income, debt-to-income (DTI) ratio, assets and other financial information to determine your risk level. The better your qualifying factors, the better the interest rate you may be offered.

What is the best graph to show the rate of change? ›

Line graphs are used to track changes over short and long periods of time. When smaller changes exist, line graphs are better to use than bar graphs.

What is the best graph for showing trends? ›

A line graph reveals trends or progress over time, and you can use it to show many different categories of data.

What is a good interest rate? ›

For example, if you have excellent credit, a rate below 11 percent would be considered good, while 12.5 percent would be less competitive. To improve your odds of getting a good rate, pay your credit accounts on time, keep credit card usage to a minimum and avoid opening too many new accounts at once.

What is the average mortgage interest rate right now? ›

Current mortgage and refinance interest rates
ProductInterest RateAPR
20-Year Fixed Rate6.96%7.02%
15-Year Fixed Rate6.59%6.67%
10-Year Fixed Rate6.68%6.75%
5-1 ARM6.65%7.95%
5 more rows

What leads to a higher interest rate? ›

When inflation is high, the government raises rates to deter borrowers from taking loans in an effort to reduce spending. The current price of goods might skyrocket by the time the borrower pays it back. This will reduce the lender's purchasing power. When the demand for credit is high, so are interest rates.

What is the graphical representation of interest rates? ›

The Yield Curve is a graphical representation of the interest rates on debt for a range of maturities. It shows the yield an investor is expecting to earn if he lends his money for a given period of time. The graph displays a bond's yield on the vertical axis and the time to maturity across the horizontal axis.

Which graph is used for trend analysis? ›

A line chart is the best way. Many data analysts prefer line charts to other graphs. This is because line charts show differences in variables. They compare data and show trends by revealing highs and lows.

Which graph is useful for showing trends? ›

Line charts are useful for showing trends over time and comparing many data series. Line charts plot data at regular points connected by lines.

What type of graph can be used to predict trends over time? ›

Line chart

It is often used to show trends and analyze data changes over time. The line graph can also be used for comparing data from multiple values by using multiple curved or straight lines. In a line chart, the y-axis represents the quantitive value, while the x-axis shows the timescale or a sequence of intervals.

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